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Blanchard Consultancy - News

House price recovery 'could take ten years'

Saturday, November 15, 2008

Homeowners will have to wait a decade before property prices return to 2007 levels, a leading estate agent said yesterday.

Average house prices are tumbling at a rate of £78 a day and are set to fall in total by 16 per cent this year and 11 per cent by the end of 2009, according to a forecast from Savills. This will bring the average value down from £182,080 in December 2007 to £136,123.

The London-based agent does not expect the market to show signs of recovery for another two years, with a full rebound to 2007 levels not likely until at least 2018.

It cautioned that only buyers with adequate cash will be able to take advantage of cheaper prices in the meantime, because of the lack of availability of mortgage deals.

Read more at Times online

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Bank of England stays firmly on the fence

Saturday, August 09, 2008

Plenty has happened since the Bank of England last cut interest rates in April. Inflation has risen to 3.8% - almost double the government's 2% target - requiring the Bank's governor, Mervyn King, to write an explanatory letter to chancellor Alistair Darling. At the same time, the economy has weakened rapidly – today's news from the Halifax of an 11% drop in house prices over the past year is merely the latest evidence of a deflating property bubble.

Official figures suggest Britain continued to expand - if weakly - in the second quarter of the year, but all the signs are that the second half of the year will see the economy slide into its first recession in more than a decade and a half.

Against that backdrop, it was hardly surprising that the Bank's monetary policy committee left interest rates on hold today.

Article continues at Guardian news

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